Wittenberg

Xheneral/General => Wittenberg => Topic started by: Mic’haglh Autófil, O.Be on December 22, 2025, 09:42:07 PM

Title: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Mic’haglh Autófil, O.Be on December 22, 2025, 09:42:07 PM
Mic'haglh Autofil and Sir Marcel Tafial are proud to announce l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political (the Institute for Political Nerdery). What we want to do here is basically "nerd out" about a subject we enjoy -- the various ways to analyze elections, look at different systems of voting, etc. More serious atmospheres might call this psephology (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Psephology), but we're pretty sure the Talossan name is actually easier to pronounce!

To start us off, I wanted to talk about a relatively basic measurement: something called the Gallagher index (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gallagher_index). The Gallagher Index is a measurement of how disproportionate an election's results are: the greater the difference between parties' share of the vote and their share of seats, the higher the index will be.

How do you calculate it? It's pretty simple, really:

Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Mic’haglh Autófil, O.Be on December 22, 2025, 09:42:26 PM
As an example, let's look at the results from our most recent election:


Party% Vote    Seats    % Seats    Diff.    Sq. Diff.
PA43.628743.500.120.01440
URL32.986633.00-0.020.00040
Green13.832814.00-0.170.02890
IDT7.45157.50-0.050.00250
IG/A-S    2.1322.000.130.01690
TOTAL0.06310
TOTAL/20.03155
GI0.17762

That's pretty low! For reference, the lowest one we can find for macronations is Guyana, which as of 2020 had a Gallagher Index of 0.52.
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Mic’haglh Autófil, O.Be on December 22, 2025, 09:43:51 PM
However, we've seen people discussing changing the size of the Cosa recently, so it's not a bad idea to look at how that could affect things. For example, if the Cosa had 20 seats as recently proposed:

Party% Vote    Seats    % Seats    Diff.    Sq. Diff.
PA43.62945.00-1.381.90440
URL32.98735.00-2.024.08040
Green13.83315.00-1.171.36890
IDT7.4515.002.456.00250
IG/A-S    2.1300.002.134.53690
TOTAL17.89310
TOTAL/28.94655
GI2.99108

2.99 is still very low -- that would put Talossa between New Zealand (2.63) and Austria (3.21). Using the same method, a 40-seat Cosa, while lacking historical precedent, would have an index of 1.22. All of these would be perfectly acceptable numbers with respect to proportionality! Any of them are in line with some of the nations considered to have extremely healthy democracies. (For reference, nations like the US, UK, Canada, etc are regularly above 5 or even 10, with the UK's 2024 election delivering a Gallagher Index of 23.73!)
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Mic’haglh Autófil, O.Be on December 22, 2025, 09:45:17 PM
It's worth looking at the Senate as well, just for curiosity, using the numbers from the four Senate races in the most recent election:

Party% Vote (1st Rd.)Seats    % Seats    Diff.    Sq. Diff.
PA40.43375.00-34.571195.08490
URL36.17125.0011.17124.76890
Green4.2600.004.2618.14760
Ind.19.1500.0019.15366.72250
TOTAL1704.72390
TOTAL/2852.36195
GI29.19524

As we can see, the Senate is significantly more disproportionate than even a 20-seat Cosa. This calls into question the motives and reasoning of those who may support keeping the Senate as-is, while opposing decreasing the size of the Cosa as "less representative".
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Miestră Schivă, UrN-GC on December 22, 2025, 09:57:09 PM
Tbf, the point of the Senäts in the minds of its defenders is precisely to be countermajoritarian. It is supposed to *not* represent the majority, because "stopping the majority doing things" is seen as a benefit in itself.
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: owenedwards on December 23, 2025, 07:00:26 AM
Quote from: Mic'haglh Autófil, O.Be on December 22, 2025, 09:45:17 PMIt's worth looking at the Senate as well, just for curiosity, using the numbers from the four Senate races in the most recent election:

Party% Vote (1st Rd.)Seats    % Seats    Diff.    Sq. Diff.
PA40.43375.00-34.571195.08490
URL36.17125.0011.17124.76890
Green4.2600.004.2618.14760
Ind.19.1500.0019.15366.72250
TOTAL1704.72390
TOTAL/2852.36195
GI29.19524

As we can see, the Senate is significantly more disproportionate than even a 20-seat Cosa. This calls into question the motives and reasoning of those who may support keeping the Senate as-is, while opposing decreasing the size of the Cosa as "less representative".

I don't actually have any views on the size of the Cosa, but this insinuation doesn't follow. One could desire one house to be popularly representative and another wholly unrepresentative, or representative of a different set of bodies; therefore, one would object to the reduction in proportionality in the popular house, even as one objected to an increase in proportionality in the other house. In fact, this was the mainstream Anglophone theory into the late 20th century, pretty much!
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Baron Alexandreu Davinescu on December 23, 2025, 09:12:45 AM
Quote from: Mic'haglh Autófil, O.Be on December 22, 2025, 09:42:07 PMMic'haglh Autofil and Sir Marcel Tafial are proud to announce l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political (the Institute for Political Nerdery). What we want to do here is basically "nerd out" about a subject we enjoy -- the various ways to analyze elections, look at different systems of voting, etc. More serious atmospheres might call this psephology (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Psephology), but we're pretty sure the Talossan name is actually easier to pronounce!

Congratulations!!!!  It's always wonderful when someone starts something new, and I wish you the best of luck!

For most people, a new initiative can seem pretty steep, but you guys are both high-achieving and well-organized people with a lot of institutional knowledge already, so I bet you don't need much assistance.  However, I'd love to pick your brains about support you can imagine a newbie needing.  This is exactly the kind of thing we want to help make happen.

I was thinking that in instances like these, some of the following might be helpful to offer:
Again, you guys personally probably don't need much of this, but I'd love your feedback about what you imagine might be helpful for a less experience or savvy citizen.

I don't want to derail your interesting conversation any further, though, so please feel free to just private message me if you'd prefer.  And congratulations again on your new effort!
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: King Txec on December 23, 2025, 10:17:40 AM
Our Gallagher index is low owing to our voting system, correct? Essentially we award seats to parties by using their percentage of total valid votes and using that percentage to get as close as possible to dividing up the 200 seats accordingly. If I'm correct, and I admit my knowledge is scant on voting systems, then using a 200 seat Cosa achieves the will of the voter much better than perhaps reducing the size of it?

-Txec R

Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Marcel Eðo Pairescu Tafial, UrGP on December 23, 2025, 12:01:19 PM
The problem here is that seats aren't merely abstract units of representation. A seat corresponds to a person occupying it. That is my main gripe with the 200-seat status quo. Having more seats than citizens who could occupy them will forever be a blemish on Talossan democracy.
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Miestră Schivă, UrN-GC on December 23, 2025, 12:31:32 PM
The best argument for the smaller Cosă, IMHO, is that right now not all MCs are equal to each other. A 200 seat Cosa means that right now one MC's vote can outweigh another's by 20-1. And that ain't right.

It double ain't right that these assignments are decided, after the election, by party leaders at whim. The 200 seat Cosa means no effective control by voters over who represents them in the Cosă.

The only downside I can see that two parties might end up with the same seats although one had more votes. But this is a question between whether Cosă elections are about electing legislators; or about "competition between different party brands". I, like Marcel, strongly think the former should be the case, because it ensures personal accountability, and degrades the power of party "bosses".

(Of course it also means that a party with too few votes gets no seats, but I consider that a feature, not a bug.)
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: owenedwards on December 23, 2025, 12:52:42 PM
Quote from: Miestră Schivă, UrN-GC on December 23, 2025, 12:31:32 PMThe best argument for the smaller Cosă, IMHO, is that right now not all MCs are equal to each other. A 200 seat Cosa means that right now one MC's vote can outweigh another's by 20-1. And that ain't right.

It double ain't right that these assignments are decided, after the election, by party leaders at whim. The 200 seat Cosa means no effective control by voters over who represents them in the Cosă.

The only downside I can see that two parties might end up with the same seats although one had more votes. But this is a question between whether Cosă elections are about electing legislators; or about "competition between different party brands". I, like Marcel, strongly think the former should be the case, because it ensures personal accountability, and degrades the power of party "bosses".

(Of course it also means that a party with too few votes gets no seats, but I consider that a feature, not a bug.)

Miestra Schiva to the Electors of Bristol:
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Miestră Schivă, UrN-GC on December 23, 2025, 12:53:28 PM
I'm not 100% sure what is being referred to here, but Zack Polanski is a pretty cool guy
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Marcel Eðo Pairescu Tafial, UrGP on December 23, 2025, 01:15:47 PM
I believe it's in reference to this: Edmund Burke, Speech to the Electors of Bristol (https://press-pubs.uchicago.edu/founders/documents/v1ch13s7.html), though this seems to say something very different from what Miestră and I are arguing for.
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Miestră Schivă, UrN-GC on December 23, 2025, 01:58:19 PM
I know that Judge Edwards is a big fan of Edward Burke; even though I am entirely opposed to his political philosophy, I rate him as a thinker and a writer, so I accept the compliment
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: owenedwards on December 23, 2025, 05:34:25 PM
Miestra was arguing we should elect representatives who use their own judgement and are accountable for their votes, not vote for party machines on whose patronage they depend. Burke's argument was that MPs should be elected as representatives, not delegates simply repeating the will of electors. There is very much a parallel, if loose, and I'm very sympathetic to the idea.
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Miestră Schivă, UrN-GC on December 27, 2025, 06:39:39 PM
Quote from: Miestră Schivă, UrN-GC on December 22, 2025, 09:57:09 PMTbf, the point of the Senäts in the minds of its defenders is precisely to be countermajoritarian. It is supposed to *not* represent the majority, because "stopping the majority doing things" is seen as a benefit in itself.

Reposting this for no reason in particular :D
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Breneir Tzaracomprada on February 23, 2026, 01:14:52 AM
A bit quiet here now.

For those political nerds out there I am wondering if you have a favorite form of government. Any particular representative countries?

I like the collective leadership of the Swiss Confederation. And the national referendums. I also like what is called the Washminster mutation of Australia. In more granular details, I like the "sexennial" single term presidency of Mexico and I recently learned of The Philippines unless I am mistaken.
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Marcel Eðo Pairescu Tafial, UrGP on February 23, 2026, 12:21:46 PM
Due to recent events, here is what the 62nd Cosă could've looked like had the Pseudo-Real Cosă Act already been in effect last election:

Progressive Alliance (9):
Xhorxh Pol Briga (2)
Tric'hard Lenxheir (2)
Litz Cjantscheir (2)
Françal Ian Lux (2)
Ian Lupul (1)

Uniun dels Reformistaes Livereschti (7):
Miestră Schivă (2)
Mic'haglh Autófil (2)
Marcel Tafial (2)
Martì-Páir Furxhéir (1)

Green Party (3):
Breneir Tzaracomprada (2)
Francesco Manzella (1)

In Defensa Traditionis (1):
Mximo Malt (1)
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Breneir Tzaracomprada on February 23, 2026, 12:25:47 PM
Quote from: Breneir Tzaracomprada on February 23, 2026, 01:14:52 AMA bit quiet here now.

For those political nerds out there I am wondering if you have a favorite form of government. Any particular representative countries?

I like the collective leadership of the Swiss Confederation. And the national referendums. I also like what is called the Washminster mutation of Australia. In more granular details, I like the "sexennial" single term presidency of Mexico and I recently learned of The Philippines unless I am mistaken.

Would love to hear folks thoughts on this.
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Miestră Schivă, UrN-GC on February 23, 2026, 01:40:31 PM
Quote from: Marcel Eðo Pairescu Tafial, UrGP on February 23, 2026, 12:21:46 PMDue to recent events, here is what the 62nd Cosă could've looked like had the Pseudo-Real Cosă Act already been in effect last election:

The main difference is that the PA would have had to, from the outset, co-operate with the URL to form a government, which would have saved us a lot of drama
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Breneir Tzaracomprada on February 23, 2026, 04:02:36 PM
Quote from: Breneir Tzaracomprada on February 23, 2026, 01:14:52 AMA bit quiet here now.

For those political nerds out there I am wondering if you have a favorite form of government. Any particular representative countries?

I like the collective leadership of the Swiss Confederation. And the national referendums. I also like what is called the Washminster mutation of Australia. In more granular details, I like the "sexennial" single term presidency of Mexico and I recently learned of The Philippines unless I am mistaken.

Not really a fan of semi-presidential systems.
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Marcel Eðo Pairescu Tafial, UrGP on February 23, 2026, 07:16:24 PM
My favourite form of government is probably a parliamentary democracy with an executive presidency (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parliamentary_republics_with_an_executive_presidency).

From what I can tell, presidentialism is probably some flavour of undemocratic (a single president can never adequately represent a whole population, and should not be entrusted with sweeping powers), but in conventional parliamentary setups, presidents are kinda pointless figureheads. So instead of having a powerless figurehead president kinda-not-really in charge, the Prime Minister could (and in most cases already does) act as the head of state when representing the country abroad for instance, while still requiring the confidence of parliament to remain in office. Power would ultimately remain with parliament.

As for my favourite voting system: I found out about approval voting a few years ago, and I've been especially intrigued by sequential proportional approval voting as a means of electing proportional parliaments that is both 1) not reliant on political parties and 2) easier to explain, conduct and tabulate than ranked choice methods. I dunno, something about this is just neat to me.
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Breneir Tzaracomprada on February 23, 2026, 10:02:37 PM
Quote from: Marcel Eðo Pairescu Tafial, UrGP on February 23, 2026, 07:16:24 PMMy favourite form of government is probably a parliamentary democracy with an executive presidency (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parliamentary_republics_with_an_executive_presidency).

From what I can tell, presidentialism is probably some flavour of undemocratic (a single president can never adequately represent a whole population, and should not be entrusted with sweeping powers), but in conventional parliamentary setups, presidents are kinda pointless figureheads. So instead of having a powerless figurehead president kinda-not-really in charge, the Prime Minister could (and in most cases already does) act as the head of state when representing the country abroad for instance, while still requiring the confidence of parliament to remain in office. Power would ultimately remain with parliament.

As for my favourite voting system: I found out about approval voting a few years ago, and I've been especially intrigued by sequential proportional approval voting as a means of electing proportional parliaments that is both 1) not reliant on political parties and 2) easier to explain, conduct and tabulate than ranked choice methods. I dunno, something about this is just neat to me.

I've never liked a combined head of state and head of government. In the US, for example, we have seldom had presidents who have been able to succeed at both. I therefore tend to view parliamentary republics like India with a symbolic (with some reserve powers for exceptional use) presidency and a prime minister as head of day-to-day administration favorably. If Talossa became a republic then I would suggest looking to the Irish presidency (long term of office, reserve powers, officially described as "first citizen") as an example or if I had my druthers a collective directory with a rotating "first among equals" symbolic president like Switzerland.

You mentioned something called liquid democracy in another thread and I am attracted to that system. I believe the German Pirate Party uses it to some extent. Do you have ideas on how it might be implemented in Talossa? Florencia's constitutional reform has the potential for radical solutions.
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Marcel Eðo Pairescu Tafial, UrGP on February 24, 2026, 10:54:44 AM
Quote from: Breneir Tzaracomprada on February 23, 2026, 10:02:37 PMYou mentioned something called liquid democracy in another thread and I am attracted to that system. I believe the German Pirate Party uses it to some extent. Do you have ideas on how it might be implemented in Talossa? Florencia's constitutional reform has the potential for radical solutions.

A more straightforward form of this would be proxy voting. Florencians would be given the choice of claiming a seat in the assembly directly, or to delegate their seat to someone else. M-M already operates under this system, but I don't remember the last time votes were delegated there.
Title: Re: [IAP] Introducing l'Institüt del Agroïcismeu Political
Post by: Breneir Tzaracomprada on February 24, 2026, 11:02:38 AM
Quote from: Marcel Eðo Pairescu Tafial, UrGP on February 24, 2026, 10:54:44 AM
Quote from: Breneir Tzaracomprada on February 23, 2026, 10:02:37 PMYou mentioned something called liquid democracy in another thread and I am attracted to that system. I believe the German Pirate Party uses it to some extent. Do you have ideas on how it might be implemented in Talossa? Florencia's constitutional reform has the potential for radical solutions.

A more straightforward form of this would be proxy voting. Florencians would be given the choice of claiming a seat in the assembly directly, or to delegate their seat to someone else. M-M already operates under this system, but I don't remember the last time votes were delegated there.

@Mic'haglh Autófil, O.Be @mximo Governor and Senator, this is something to be considered in Florencia's Constitutional Reform Committee once you all are ready to dig in.