Okay, so I finished up this one.  I also spent a few minutes grabbing out the swearing-in from the State Opening, since I thought that would be a neat clip.  I had to cover up some folks with the text of the oath -- sorry!  You can check that one out here.  I'll do the same today with my presentation and the Chancery's presentation.  If anyone else has good clip ideas, please point them out and I'll whip something up.  It'll be good to get a good number of short videos like this that we can post at intervals.

Meanwhile, the monarchy one should be done soon.

We're starting in fifteen - is there a link somewhere?
EDIT nm I remembered it was in our email.

Yes, I was going to be more specific when I made the motion, but I want to discuss activity rates.

This applicant hasn't posted to Witt within a month of their introduction, so the application process is discontinued.

I'll be making that motion, then.  I'd like to discuss some data points, a month of recess, and a problem in the law right now when it comes to the Hopper.

Thank you for your submission.  You might need to end up picking one colour, but I don't think it's bad to start with multiple choices.  Are there any volunteers to take on this design?

-SVA

What do you suggest that's veg that I could try?

I have a brief presentation with accompanying slideshow I'd like to make to the Ziu, as well, if that's okay.

I make a lot of Japanese and Korean food, and I'm trying to learn to cook Indian.  My family is vegetarian, and in my experience those cuisines are some of the easiest and most flavorful to cook without meat.

Just a public notice to all Progs who haven't seen it: according to our constitution, our regularly-scheduled election for party leader is coming soon!  Check out the announcement and further details in the private party forum.

I've had a little less time recently, but I have been able to make some more structural updates. at this point, it's clear that the new immigration infrastructure is working well, with essentially no major problems since it was put into place. I've transitioned it to a new account. I've also moved over all of our records for Infoteca, and I spent some time updating how that information is presented. Our data portal now has a natural language summary at the top that is automatically updated, several prettier charts, and overall just a better presentation. I also took the time to add in any additional data we had from the past, and to put everything together in one organized spreadsheet. I am going to get together some notes and documentation as well, so that anyone who needs to fix things in the future will be able to find exactly what has gone wrong and understand how all the parts work together.

I know this stuff isn't glamorous and there's not much that's changed on the front end for most people, but I'm trying to keep things updated so everyone is aware of what's been happening.

As always, suggestions or error reports would be very welcome! If you think of other information it'd be valuable for people to have, please let us know! It has to be fairly easy to keep updated, though I've tried to make it a rule then it should take no more than 5 minutes a month to keep everything completely updated, that way there's never any excuse for ignoring that task.

Check out the updated Infoteca here: https://talossa.com/infoteca/

This prospective not having posted within a month of his introduction to the nation, his application is discontinued.

Quote from: Béneditsch Ardpresteir on February 21, 2026, 10:39:27 PM@Mximo Malt, I am not in favour of starting with a Purpure. Please think of any other hue that appeals to you.

I wonder if we've had any progress, here?  Mximo is being very patient, but I'm sure he'd love to have his arms figured out.

-SVA

Members of the Ziu:

I have been working on some background changes to make our data more useful and accessible, and there's a few interesting points to note.  I thought I would report them to our legislature, and this data might be the basis for new policy changes or simply informative for the future.

There are a couple of trends to notice. 

Population and Activity Trends

First of all, our total population over the last twenty years.



As we can see, this was once much higher... I think our high-water mark was 258 citizens.  Currently, we have a population of 139 or so.  And I think it's interesting to notice that this is because of two trends:

• Three-Strikes removal of inactive citizens
• Generally decreased interest in Talossa

These are separate trends, and I think we can see that in the numbers elsewhere on Infotecă.

The first trend is the striking out of citizens who neither vote nor respond to a census over the course of two years.  From 2015-2016, the Three Strikes came into real effect and we saw purges of inactive citizens.  These were people who hadn't voted in years, and very few of them have ever shown any interest or returned in the years since.  I don't know if our civic life lost much when they were purged, and the current system might be a better reflection of who's really a Talossan.  So the total number of citizens shrank dramatically.

At the same time, we also can see that people were just becoming less interested and active in Talossa, generally.  In 2021, we got into a serious existential crisis... there were months when there were 10 or 20 total topics posted on all of Wittenberg, with less than 200 total posts. 

This problem is also reflected in the voting numbers.  The Jun 2021 election had only 73 voters, with 50% turnout -- and this is after nearly a hundred non-voting citizens had been removed from the rolls!  The total voters dropped precipitously over the course of a decade, landing down at double digits in 2019 for the first time in a long time.

If we look at naturalization records, we can see there are long spans with zero naturalizations from that time.  At this point, we weren't just shedding citizens who'd been inactive for a long time -- the country was shrinking in a very real way.

Those of us who were around at the time can remember this time, and how eerily quiet and dead everything was.  Very little was happening, and there was very little interest from anyone.

I think it's safe to say that we were in serious danger at this time, and we might be lucky we were even able to pull out of that nosedive.  It's easy to imagine the country losing the ability to appeal to others: a handful of hardcore citizens exchanging offices and talking into the void.  How long could that be sustained before people just gave up?  Or before someone seized effective control and just remade the place in their own image?

Fortunately, we seem to have mostly plateaued, and now our task is going to be to build our way up into the future.

The Virtuous Cycle

So then, when we look at the data, I think it's reasonable to say that strong Witt activity and naturalization numbers are a decent window into national health.  They're not perfect and not complete, but they're real.¹  What do we see when we take a look?

• Interestingly, posts and threads are almost perfectly correlated -- we might think that there could be months with a lot of discussion on just a few things, but the data shows that's not true.
• But as we might expect, Wittenberg activity correlates decently with naturalization and retention.  Terms with higher activity levels in general tend to have fewer people depart for inactivity at the following election.
• That effect doesn't reverse: there's no correlation between the number of people who get purged for inactivity and the activity of the next term.

Overall, there's a virtuous cycle visible in the data: Wittenberg activity becomes applications (not perfectly, r is like 0.4 - 0.5 cumulatively²), and then applications become naturalizations (again, not perfectly, r is about 0.4), and then naturalizations weakly feed back into Wittenberg activity (naturalizations affect future Witt topics at r = 0.31 – 0.37).

The caveat here is that these correlations are all real but not super-strong.  This is what we'd expect, because the whole thing is a little noisy.  There's no variable that tracks "hey we went crazy viral for two days but in a group with very low English proficiency," but that happened and it led to a month with sky-high applications but with a surprisingly low conversion rate.  That doesn't have much to do with anyone's choices, and the effects can be pretty big since our community is pretty small.

Conclusions

Overall, I think this tells us a few things.  First of all, this stuff isn't all random.  When we're active, more people tend to immigrate -- and when more people immigrate, it tends to make us more active.

Second of all, that means that interventions that boost any of these things will have positive consequences for the rest of them.

And because of those consequences, it also seems clear that policy decisions and governance can have a real impact on these trends.  That trend isn't immediate or perfect, and luck plays a big role.  But it's real.  When you vote, your choice matters for the future of Talossa.

I know we have some other folks who like numbers around, so I hope some of them will chime in.

Notes
1. These numbers could be "gamed," and that's important.  If we were to take them as gospel, that'd make them too easy a target to mess with (cf Goodhart's Law).
2. "r" (formally called a correlation coefficient) measures how closely two things move together, on a scale from -1.0 to +1.0.  So if two things have an r of 1, then they happen in lockstep: if A, then B.

Absolutely!  Welcome!

It's on my family calendar for noon EST for two hours on the fourteenth, so I'll be there (barring any emergencies).

Yeah, I refreshed it.  Thank you for the notice!  If you couldn't see it, no one else probably could, either.

https://talossa.com/la-chronica-zecemvar-xlvii-december-2025/
https://talossa.com/la-chronica-januar-xlvii-january-2026/

I don't think the side widget is updating and those posts weren't right -- the site needs some maintenance, I think.

Congrats, Moinul!

This prospective has not made a post within a month of their introduction, so per the law, their application process is discontinued.  They are welcome to try again in the future.