I'm not sure how to word this. But it is with very heavy regret that I resign my Cosa seats. My mental health has taken a turn for the worst in the last few weeks and I'm struggling to cope with Talossa related stuff. I do not want to disappoint anyone but I sadly have no other choice. I appreciate the opportunity I have been given, and hope I am still welcome in this wonderful community.

Perhaps they just pick 1 number? I'm trying to work through this.

Quote from: Ian Plätschisch on March 24, 2022, 08:05:09 PM
It's great to see new citizens taking initiative!

With that made clear, I have some concern about how the mathematics of this lottery are going to shake out.

The number of unique combinations of four numbers between 1-59 (assuming the order doesn't matter, which my understanding of the rules) is the sum of:

Cases in which all four numbers are distinct (ex: 1 2 3 4): 59 choose 4 = 455,126
Cases in which one number appears twice (ex. 1 2 3 3): (59 choose 3) * 3 = 97,527
Cases in which one number appears thrice (ex. 1 2 2 2): (59 choose 2) * 2 = 3,422
Cases in which one number repeats four times (ex. 1 1 1 1): 59 (pretty obvious)
Cases in which two numbers appear twice (ex. 1 1 2 2): 59 choose 2 = 1,711

For a total of 557,845 possibilities. Since each line can only contain one of these possibilities, each line has only a 1/557,845 = .000001793 chance of winning on a particular draw.

The pricing of the tickets clearly encourages people to buy five lines on each ticket, so assuming each ticket has five unique lines, the chance of a ticket winning on a particular draw is 5/557,845 = .000008963

Similarly, suppose twenty tickets (with five unique lines each) are sold, which is pretty optimistic. The chance that anyone wins on a particular drawing is 100/557,845 = .0001793

Suppose that all of the tickets remain in effect until one of them wins. The number of drawings required before any of the tickets wins is a geometric random variable with distribution:

Pr(D = d) = .0001793 * (1 - .0001793)^(d - 1)

For example, the probability that the first win occurs on the 10th drawing is:

Pr(D = 10) = .0001793 * (1 - .0001793)^9 = .0001790

The mean of this distribution is 1/.0001793 = 5,577

If a drawing were held every week, we would not expect anyone to win for over 100 years!

If anything, the Treasury would surely benefit from being able to loan out the proceeds at interest while it waited for anyone to win.

I am happy to join this project as Chief Actuary to help come up with a more workable design.

I would thoroughly appreciate any help.
I was a bit unsure myself to be fair... Thank you for pointing these things out.

Current staff members are as follows:

Caleb Frenibuerg, Head of Talossa National Lottery

Mic'haglh Autófil, Assistant to the Head

Breneir Tzarcomprada, Head of Marketing

Right! Here we go. I've tried my best to sort this out but this is the best outcome I can figure out.

Sales of all tickets will go towards:
- 10% will be donated to a charity of the Burgermeisters choice at the time of each draw.
- 15% will be be forwarded to the Burgermeister to assist in the running of Talossa.
And the rest will be equally divided amongst all tickets that have 4 numbers matched.

Citizens will be able to purchase 1 ticket.

Each ticket will have a base price of $10USD. You can add extra lines of 4 numbers up to a maximum of 4 times, so a max of 5 lines per ticket. Any extra lines will cost an additional $2.50USD.

If you purchase a ticket, you must select  4 numbers. The numbers will range from 1-59.

If you match 1 number, you win nothing.
If you match 2 numbers, you receive a 25% discount on your next ticket.
If you match 3 numbers, you receive 1 free ticket into the next draw, although a donation towards a ticket would be much appreciated.
If you match all 4 numbers, as above, all funds that remain once the deductions have been removed will be divided equally amongst all tickets that have 4 numbers matched.

Payments will be taken by PayPal, or if you can sort another form of payment out, let me know when you message to purchase a ticket.

Quote from: Miestră Schivă, UrN on March 23, 2022, 05:56:43 PM
Thanks very much for your enthusiasm, although I must say that anyone who finds financial administration "fascinating" is somewhat suspect :D

The Minister of Finance has, I believe, already offered the position to someone else - but if that falls through, we'll let you know and we can discuss things further.

I meant the whole Talossa thing.
I apologize.

Quote from: Istefan Perþonest on March 17, 2022, 04:42:54 PM
1) The ICRC donation for Ukraine has been made, not that I communicated about it.

2) I am rather backlogged on sending out purchased stamps and coins, sorry

3) Received party fees so far for this election are from the FreeDems, RCT, and Independent Monarchist.

4) My snail address for anybody who needs to send a check/cash for a party fee is is 645 Moondale Drive, El Paso, TX 79912

5) It would, in fact, be a relief to me to pass off the Burgermeister and related stamp/coin job to someone else. I'm having anxiety issues every time I deal with it (thus lack of communication and backlogs), and medication is just not working like it should. So, if you guys line someone up, I'll ship the stamps and coins, send the PayPal password along, and transfer the Ally account balances. (The relevant email addresses should be redirectable to the new person by the website management.)

This is not a positive request to be replaced. I'm willing to muddle along. But I'm definitely going to be muddling through this anxiety stuff, so I'm not remotely going to object to being relieved of the responsibility.

Is anyone able to put their name forward for Burgermeister? I would potentially be interested if nobody puts their hand up.
I do realize I am only a new citizen but I am finding this whole thing to be very fascinating.
Please let me know if I'm getting too big for my boots.

Quote from: Baron Alexandreu Davinescu on March 23, 2022, 08:56:07 AM

Quote from: Caleb Frenibuerg on March 22, 2022, 09:21:44 PM

Quote from: Baron Alexandreu Davinescu on March 22, 2022, 06:25:03 PM

Quote from: Mic'haglh Autófil on March 22, 2022, 01:13:29 AM
If we could have some sort of Talossan louis digital wallet, this would be way easier, but I feel like micronational cryptocurrency is just too far down the rabbit hole of Internet Shenanigans (TM)  ;D

I don't want yet another cryptocurrency to watch bounce around like a bad tech stock.  The BTC crash already gives me a stomachache when I think about it.

Quote from: Caleb Frenibuerg on March 22, 2022, 06:13:39 PM

Quote from: Caleb Frenibuerg on March 22, 2022, 04:47:34 PM

Quote from: Mic'haglh Autófil on March 22, 2022, 01:13:29 AM
If we could have some sort of Talossan louis digital wallet, this would be way easier, but I feel like micronational cryptocurrency is just too far down the rabbit hole of Internet Shenanigans (TM)  ;D

I think I've sorted something. There is an app called Wise. I have used it before. You can set up Virtual bank accounts in different currencies like USD, EURO, GBP, etc etc. Will need to get more details, but if someone could message me in regards to this it would be much appreciated.

Do we have a Company Registry? I'm assuming not since we don't have any services to offer.

Not sure what that is, but there is a way to register corporations in the country, complete with articles of incorporation and a public listing.

I see. Would the National Lottery be classed as a Corporation? I think I may need documents to prove that I'm actually selling services... I've buggered this up well and truly I think.
Could I register the Talossa National Lottery as a business?
I'd need confirmation from the proper officials stating that I am the owner of the Talossa National Lottery and that it is registered in Talossa.

I think you could register it as a business and corporation under Talossan law, but it's probably not a good idea to do it in any other jurisdiction.

That's what I meant 😃
Don't think any good would come out of registering it anywhere other than Talossa.

The Wise account I made has been terminated. Apparently it goes against their terms of conduct. Back to square one.

Quote from: Mic'haglh Autófil on March 22, 2022, 01:10:22 AM
After integrating much of the feedback -- as well as doing my best to make these ISO- and ICAO-compliant, I submit the following:

   

Please ignore that I look thoroughly pissed off in my passport photo LMAO

Dates updated to the correct DD.MM.YYYY format, but including the Talossan year.

Document number is [Last Initial][4-digit Citizen #][Year of issue][Check digit][Version/edition, starting at A]. Check digit is a wee bit simpler than its ICAO counterpart: take the value of each non-check digit (or 1-26 if it's a letter), including the edition, sum each of them, square that, and sum up the value of those digits. If over 26, take each of the digits of that sum and sum those, at which point you really should be under 26. Assign a letter based on the value gotten.

As an example, mine is A055122-A. A = 1. 1+0+5+5+1+2+2+1=17. 17^2=289. 2+8+9=19. The 19th letter of the alphabet is S.

I actually thought the design for the back was pretty good as it was, although from my reading of ICAO 9303 the Machine Readable Zone is supposed to have a white background. I'll freely admit I could be misinterpreting that out of caution, though. (And as luck would have it, we do actually have the same check digit on the second line.)

Arms shown here are for display / template purposes, and also for a chuckle.

I'm thinking the bunch of letters and numbers on the bottom could be a bit smaller. Maybe so it only takes up 1/4 of the card.

Quote from: Baron Alexandreu Davinescu on March 22, 2022, 06:25:03 PM

Quote from: Mic'haglh Autófil on March 22, 2022, 01:13:29 AM
If we could have some sort of Talossan louis digital wallet, this would be way easier, but I feel like micronational cryptocurrency is just too far down the rabbit hole of Internet Shenanigans (TM)  ;D

I don't want yet another cryptocurrency to watch bounce around like a bad tech stock.  The BTC crash already gives me a stomachache when I think about it.

Quote from: Caleb Frenibuerg on March 22, 2022, 06:13:39 PM

Quote from: Caleb Frenibuerg on March 22, 2022, 04:47:34 PM

Quote from: Mic'haglh Autófil on March 22, 2022, 01:13:29 AM
If we could have some sort of Talossan louis digital wallet, this would be way easier, but I feel like micronational cryptocurrency is just too far down the rabbit hole of Internet Shenanigans (TM)  ;D

I think I've sorted something. There is an app called Wise. I have used it before. You can set up Virtual bank accounts in different currencies like USD, EURO, GBP, etc etc. Will need to get more details, but if someone could message me in regards to this it would be much appreciated.

Do we have a Company Registry? I'm assuming not since we don't have any services to offer.

Not sure what that is, but there is a way to register corporations in the country, complete with articles of incorporation and a public listing.

I see. Would the National Lottery be classed as a Corporation? I think I may need documents to prove that I'm actually selling services... I've buggered this up well and truly I think.
Could I register the Talossa National Lottery as a business?
I'd need confirmation from the proper officials stating that I am the owner of the Talossa National Lottery and that it is registered in Talossa.

Quote from: Caleb Frenibuerg on March 22, 2022, 04:47:34 PM

Quote from: Mic'haglh Autófil on March 22, 2022, 01:13:29 AM
If we could have some sort of Talossan louis digital wallet, this would be way easier, but I feel like micronational cryptocurrency is just too far down the rabbit hole of Internet Shenanigans (TM)  ;D

I think I've sorted something. There is an app called Wise. I have used it before. You can set up Virtual bank accounts in different currencies like USD, EURO, GBP, etc etc. Will need to get more details, but if someone could message me in regards to this it would be much appreciated.

Do we have a Company Registry? I'm assuming not since we don't have any services to offer.

Quote from: Mic'haglh Autófil on March 22, 2022, 01:13:29 AM
If we could have some sort of Talossan louis digital wallet, this would be way easier, but I feel like micronational cryptocurrency is just too far down the rabbit hole of Internet Shenanigans (TM)  ;D

I think I've sorted something. There is an app called Wise. I have used it before. You can set up Virtual bank accounts in different currencies like USD, EURO, GBP, etc etc. Will need to get more details, but if someone could message me in regards to this it would be much appreciated.

Quote from: Baron Alexandreu Davinescu on March 21, 2022, 08:54:09 PM

Quote from: Caleb Frenibuerg on March 21, 2022, 08:28:31 PM

Quote from: Baron Alexandreu Davinescu on March 21, 2022, 07:12:29 PM
It would be fun to make it Talossa-themed somehow.  Like the total numbers could go to 59, a number with mystical Talossan significance.  Each person can buy a number -- as many as they wish, in order.  If no one has that number, the total rolls over to the next lottery.

Ah yes, I see your point. Would multiple people be able to buy the same number? And split it evenly amongst the correct pickers (if any)?

I don't know, what do you think?

I'll go over it a couple of times. How would we go in terms of payment? Would I create a new PayPal account?

Quote from: Baron Alexandreu Davinescu on March 21, 2022, 07:12:29 PM
It would be fun to make it Talossa-themed somehow.  Like the total numbers could go to 59, a number with mystical Talossan significance.  Each person can buy a number -- as many as they wish, in order.  If no one has that number, the total rolls over to the next lottery.

Ah yes, I see your point. Would multiple people be able to buy the same number? And split it evenly amongst the correct pickers (if any)?