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60th GE Predictions

Started by Sir Ian Plätschisch, June 19, 2024, 06:14:17 PM

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Sir Ian Plätschisch

FreeDem - 80
PROG - 57
DIEN - 23
PdR - 15
COFFEE - 10
IND - 10
OPEN - 5
Sir Ian Plätschisch, UrN, GST

Miestră Schivă, UrN-GC

FreeDems 80
PA 70
Dien 14
Reformaziun 14
COFFEE 8
Open 8
IND 6

¡LADINTSCHIÇETZ-VOI - rogetz-me come!
"They proved me right, they proved me wrong, but they could never last this long"

Breneir Tzaracomprada

FreeDem - 85
PROG - 45
PdR - 20
IND - 15
DIEN - 15
COFFEE - 15
OPEN - 5
---------------
For ease of public access:
Resolution of Censure (July 2025): https://wiki.talossa.com/Law:61RZ13_Sense_of_the_Ziu:_A_First_Step_Towards_Decency
Public Apology (June 2025, Post No. 4): https://wittenberg.talossa.com/index.php?topic=4170.0
Second Public Apology (July 2026): https://wittenberg.talossa.com/index.php?topic=5373.msg44310#new

Munditenens Tresplet

FreeDems - 76
Prog - 45
PdR - 34
COFFEE - 21
Open - 16
Dien - 4
IND - 4
Munditenens Tresplet, O.SPM
Royal Governor of Péngöpäts

#KAYELLOW4EVR

Miestră Schivă, UrN-GC

Quote from: Munditenens Tresplet on June 19, 2024, 08:08:42 PMFreeDems - 76
Prog - 45
PdR - 34
COFFEE - 21
Open - 16
Dien - 4
IND - 4

That would be the best result for an explicitly Republican party for ten whole years, and open a whole new can of worms post-Abdication!

¡LADINTSCHIÇETZ-VOI - rogetz-me come!
"They proved me right, they proved me wrong, but they could never last this long"

Bråneu Excelsio, UrN

FreeDems 78
Prog 63
PdR 18
COFFEE 2000
DIEN 10
Having coffee.

Litz

Quote from: Bråneu Excelsio on June 26, 2024, 02:28:03 PMFreeDems 78
Prog 63
PdR 18
COFFEE 2000
DIEN 10
😢😭😂
The Hon. Baroness Litz Cjantscheir of Tamorán Beach, UrN-GC, GST, ChRTB, LLB, LLM
Fortiter progredi quo nulla mulier prius pervenit

Bråneu Excelsio, UrN

Ok but more seriously,
FreeDems  84
Prog      63
PdR       14
COFFEE    7
DIEN      7
OPEN      14
IND       11

Having coffee.

Sir Ian Plätschisch

These predictions were historically bad.

Breneir - 155
Ian P. - 150
Dien - 145
Bråneu - 144
Miestră - 141

For context, the winning scores over the past several elections:

59th: 189 (Me)
58th: 189 (Sir Alexandreu)
57th: 179 (Me)
56th: 183 (Me)
55th: 196 (Eðo)
54th: 188 (Eðo)
53rd: 181 (Me)
52nd: 196 (Me)
51st: 190 (Iac M.)
50th: 177 (Me)
49th: 191 (Lüc)
48th: 183 (Sevastáin Pinátsch)
47th: 181 (Glüc)
Sir Ian Plätschisch, UrN, GST

Sir Ian Plätschisch

The reason is obviously that everyone expected the Progressive Alliance to become the main successor to the TNC, which...didn't happen.
Sir Ian Plätschisch, UrN, GST

Miestră Schivă, UrN-GC

#10
Awww man, my predictions ALWAYS suck

The Progressive Alliance were obviously "not campaigning very hard", as the FreeDems did a couple of elections ago. I knew something was up when they didn't do campaign emails. The best campaigner in Talossan politics just... didn't.

¡LADINTSCHIÇETZ-VOI - rogetz-me come!
"They proved me right, they proved me wrong, but they could never last this long"

Mic’haglh Autófil, O.Be

Quote from: Ian Plätschisch on July 01, 2024, 08:10:48 PMThese predictions were historically bad.

Breneir - 155
Ian P. - 150
Dien - 145
Bråneu - 144
Miestră - 141

For context, the winning scores over the past several elections:

59th: 189 (Me)
58th: 189 (Sir Alexandreu)
57th: 179 (Me)
56th: 183 (Me)
55th: 196 (Eðo)
54th: 188 (Eðo)
53rd: 181 (Me)
52nd: 196 (Me)
51st: 190 (Iac M.)
50th: 177 (Me)
49th: 191 (Lüc)
48th: 183 (Sevastáin Pinátsch)
47th: 181 (Glüc)

How do you work out these scores, just "number of correct seats"?
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¡Entretz l'Uniun!
¡Rogetz-me come!
L'Uniun dels Reformistaes Livereschti - Pr'iens Governamaintsch Respunçival es Þonest
The Union of Free Reformists - For a Responsible and Honest Government